Thursday, August 22, 2013

Vancouver Overview


Minimum Price: $1 million















So should be no surprise why Real Estate is an 'in-demand' commodity to invest in Canada





































VANCOUVER, ASIA |  75 flights a week from YVR to China    >>  DETAILS

In addition, other carriers to Asia, some of who have two daily flights:
Air Canada, All Nippon Airlines, Cathay Pacific, China Airlines, China Southern Airlines, EVA Air, Philippines Airlines and Sichuan Airlines


Top 20 Commercial Property Assessments






































>> MORE

One of the Hottest Markets in the World























Where Immigrants Settle





Vancouver is an Asia Pacific city - not just a training ground for Princeling's anymore

Hong Kong's South China Morning Post even reports on our weather now!





A photo posted by b i l l 👾 (@ahbeel) on














A Liveable City
Photo by Wendy Williams-Watt
Vancouver - always Top 'x' in Something

KEYWORDS: Political Stability, Freehold Ownership, World-Class Airport - to facilitate appointment elsewhere within 20 hours...



Advantages:
  • Outdoor Activities | Fresh Air  - more below if you are interested - just one viewpoint
  • Experienced global workforce
  • Time Zone - perfect for Europe, NY, Boston, Toronto, and Asia - 24 hours continuous possible



FACTS:

Growth


























Paradise?










TRENDING TOPICS




PUBLISHED SEPTEMBER 13, 2014

Vancouver prime property market sizzles, thanks to China cash

But side-effects felt from latest wave linked to Beijing's anti-graft crackdown


BUYING FRENZY
Sales volumes for detached luxury homes soared in Vancouver by 38% in first-half 2014. Realtors are saying that more than half of the buyers in prime markets are mainland Chinese.
Vancouver
CHINESE investors' global hunt for prime real estate is helping drive Vancouver home prices to record highs and the city, long among top destinations for wealthy mainland buyers, is feeling the bonanza's unwelcome side-effects.
The latest wave of Chinese money, linked in part to Beijing's anti-graft crackdown, is flowing into luxury hot spots. But it has also started driving up housing costs elsewhere in a city which already ranks as North America's least affordable urban market.
For decades, Vancouver, along with Hong Kong, Sydney and Singapore and, more recently, New York and London has been attracting Chinese and other Asian buyers.   >> MORE


Vancouver globally extraordinary, statistically speaking? That’s obvious - wealth migration. Vancouver is the most popular destination city for wealth-based migrants and would-be migrants in the world. Not London, not New York, and not Monaco.
In the past eight years, more than 36,000 rich migrants moved to BC under the now-defunct millionaire migration scheme, which allowed people into Canada after handing over C$800,000 as a no-interest loan to the government.  --  2014 June 4   South China Morning Post







Asians Play Global Monopoly in Vancouver, B.C.


















Double-click articles to View

Correlation between  House Price Increase and Asian Migration














The above graph from "Millionaire Migrants" by David Ley.


No one in Vancouver better understands the impact that rich immigrants have had on the city’s property prices than Professor David Ley.
Ley, holder of the Canadian Research Chair in Geography, literally wrote the book on the subject. Millionaire Migrants, published in 2010, is the definitive account of latter-day East Asian migration to Vancouver, describing how wealthy newcomers and their migratory patterns moulded the city.
It’s no surprise that he has been closely watching the fallout from the Canadian government’s surprise decision last month to terminate the 28-year-old Immigrant Investor Programme (IIP), which has brought tens of thousands of Chinese millionaires to Vancouver.
Oxford-educated Ley has particularly noted attempts to downplay the impact of the scheme and its closure on Vancouver’s sky-high property prices, which he said represented deliberate “suppression”.
“There are interest groups who are in denial and the moment that you or I make a suggestion [about the impact of rich immigrants on property prices] we are immediately racist and this is how the discussion has been closed down,” the University of British Columbia academic said.
“We are very polite in Canada and if anyone raises the red flag of racism then everyone shuts up. To my mind that is an irrelevance. The issue is investors, wherever they are coming from, creating an issue of affordability in the market.”
Ley’s previous research revealed the exceptional correlation between international immigration to Vancouver and the city’s property prices. He charted this from 1977 to 2002, with the results presented in eye-popping clarity on page 153 of Millionaire Migrants. A graph (above) of the two factors shows them moving in near lockstep.
Ley calculated the correlation at +0.94; that’s about as close to a statistical sure thing as you can get.
By contrast, “made in Canada variables” – interest rates, employment, domestic Canadian migration and rental vacancy rates – proved rather hopeless as price predictors. Interest rates, routinely touted as the most significant factor in Vancouver’s property boom, had a negative correlation, of -0.12.
During this period, prices peaked in 1995, then fell when migration from Hong Kong all but ceased. The drops that followed were concentrated in areas favoured by rich Hongkongers, such as wealthy Shaughnessy. “The overall prices dropped, although it was concentrated. In Shaughnessy, prices went down by 25 per cent … that’s a big drop,” Ley said. “But it was not as great across the market as a whole.”
Now for the big question: is the current Vancouver market similarly tied to mainland Chinese migration? And is the cessation of the IIP analagous to the way that Hong Kong migration under the scheme halted in the mid-1990s?
Sadly, Ley isn’t sure. “There are a number of similarities. It’s not perfectly the same,” he said. He notes that the Asian financial crisis coincided with the Hong Kong handover, exacerbating the sell-off in Vancouver as immigrants repatriated their funds to the SAR.
“The combination of the exodus [back to Hong Kong] plus the repatriation of funds led to significant sales and declines in the high-price property markets here,” he said.
Nevertheless, Ley takes issue with some observers who have sought to disregard the impact of the IIP on Vancouver prices. These critics point out that arrivals in British Columbia under the scheme (recently averaging 4,600 individuals, or 1,340 households, per year) are dwarfed by greater Vancouver’s 25,000-30,000 annual residential sales.
“The problem with that argument,” said Ley, “is that if that estimate of a couple of thousand does not include secondary migration from other parts of Canada then that is an underestimate.
“The other point: are people coming in buying only one property? Undoubtedly, it has been that property is the primary form of class mobility and property is a very easy investment to manage. I would question that these folk are only buying one property.”
Ley said the investor migration scheme also fuelled Vancouver’s market in indirect ways – namely, by helping word get out among China’s rich that the city’s real estate market was a convenient, friendly and profitable place to invest. If such word-of-mouth turns in the other direction, will prices do the same? That remains to be seen.  --  by Ian Young, SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST  2014 March 5



Asia Audience Mass Awareness
Started With the Expo Site Sale to Li Ka-Shing


The entire 82-hectare site on which the future Creekside Park sits used to be an industrial site. It was bought by the provincial government for $60 million in 1980 and used for the world fair Expo 86.


In 1988 the entire parcel was sold by the Social Credit government of the day for a reported $320 million to Concord Pacific, whose majority shareholder was Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-shing.

He had outbid BCE Development Corp. and its president, the late Jack Poole.

With the leadership of Stanley Kwok, it took just over 2 years to zone the first area of 12 million sq ft Expo site in Vanoucver.   The process involved all levels of government.








This aerial is circa 2010





One sixth of the Downtown Penninsula has been developed by Asia's richest billionaire.   Asian investors followed when he came to Vancouver.













And here it is today.  We are proud to have been part of its founding history.




Real Estate Fund Manager.com




























Vancouver - Training Ground for Asian Princelings
for several generations i might add.   Here's the current cast:








Natural Resources




-  SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST   2013 June 12


WHERE TO LIVE?
if you are a Citizen of the World

 
Pink Canopy by Ben Oliver








Photo courtesy of SCMP































So where would your rather be?   Fresh air or dismal weather fluctuating between hot and cold?   Not to mention the awful pollution.   

We explore some of these issues in this blog about citizens of the world with an Asian bent.


FRESH AIR
Where else can you go for a walk in the City perimeters and have such solitude and opportunity to take in nature?

Photo courtesy of Leanne Chan

















Photo courtesy of Leanne Chan










It is the perfect place to practise yoga to get self and soul in alignment.
And just a plane ride away to Asia.







This photo from recent walk around The Peak in Hong Kong. 
  
You choose.   Where can one think clear on global strategies?    
Golf Clubs in Vancouver
























-- SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST    2013 MAY 29



































Who Is Buying Vancouver Real Estate?

Chinese Buyers
In Vancouver, where 15 per cent of the population speaks a Chinese dialect as a first language, people from China are the largest group of foreign buyers, according to Sotheby’s survey. They are often buying second homes or investment properties.

In Vancouver, which boasts a rugged Pacific coastline and cultural ties to Asia, 40 per cent of buyers of 1,239 such homes were from aboard.    >>  FINANCIAL POST

Could there be a connection between this statistic and the fact that they like to 'park capital' in safe, freehold, limited land, Asia-friendly Vancouver?
ASSESSED VALUES OF VANCOUVER REAL ESTATE























































Neighbourhoods - Demographic Growth

  




The map at the top shows the basic population movement in Vancouver’s 22 neighbourhoods over a 10-year period using census data from 2001, 2006, and 2011. A neighbourhood’s population either consecutively rose or fell or it did something in between: rose then fell or fell then rose.

The thing that jumps out of the numbers is how the population increase in downtown Vancouver has nearly kept pace with the entire rest of Vancouver.
District200120062011Increase
Downtown Vancouver27,99043,41554,69026,700
The other 21 neighbourhoods519,010536,005550,37531,365




































RESIDENTIAL - DOWNTOWN PENNINSULA


















Excluding the city’s West End neighbourhood – roughly 52 per cent of condo units are occupied by owners — while 48 per cent are owned by investors who live at another address. --HUFFINGTON POST

Anyone who has walked around Coal Harbour at night already knows that empty, investor-owned condos are the antithesis of community.

If the data released during a panel discussion at Simon Fraser University revealed anything, it’s that empty condos point to a city of speculators and investors. And it doesn’t matter if those investors are from Mainland China, Iran or Ladner.

They’re pushing up property prices by using Vancouver real estate to store their money as if it were one giant “safety deposit box,” to quote one of the panelists.

“The issue is speculation; that was the heart of my presentation,” says Andy Yan, an urban planner and statistics junkie who works for Bing Thom Architects. Mr. Yan gave a presentation that showed a substantial number of condos in downtown Vancouver are empty, and his new report made headlines.

The issue isn’t just foreign investment. It’s the fact that so many developments are investor-owned – and with the revelation that about 25 per cent of them are empty in Coal Harbour, we know a lot of them are not being used as rental stock.

...there are cranes dotting the skyline throughout the Lower Mainland. Thousands of new units are under way. The towers continue to go up. So, there’s confidence in new construction.



The Canadian Press   
Jonathan Hayward photo







A wave of wealthy immigrants from mainland China is transforming Vancouver in Canada, but the influx has seen property prices soar and most are reluctant to give up Chinese citizenship.    >>  SMCP

Life is good for Wei Fuqiang and Chen Qianhong.

Sitting on their 10-metre cruiser in Vancouver's exclusive Coal Harbour marina, the married mechanical engineers recount an unlikely trajectory from wartime China, to Tsinghua University at the height of the Cultural Revolution, to elite careers building particle accelerators in Europe at a time when few of their countrymen were even allowed to leave China.

Little about this remarkable couple is typical - yet as mainlanders they now typify a vast wave of immigration that is rapidly transforming Vancouver.

Wei, 70, and Chen, 68, retired to the west Canadian city from their most recent home, Switzerland, in 2010. Chen said: "They are very different, Europe and Canada. Canada has opened its arms to all people. It's very multicultural. But in Europe, they are always pushing you, they try to integrate you into their culture.

"In Canada, they respect your background, you feel you are thepadrone," she said, lapsing into Italian for "master of the house". "You are not anymore a guest. This is really your home."

The scale and impact of the mainland Chinese influx to Vancouver was laid bare this month in a report for Canada's immigration department, titled "A New Residential Order?"

Author Daniel Hiebert, a social geographer with the University of British Columbia (UBC), projected how mainland migration would fuel the creation of "a social geography entirely new to Canada". Ethnic Chinese numbers in the city of 2.2 million were set to double to 800,000 by 2031, about a quarter of the projected total population, with the city increasingly divided into racial enclaves, and white residents becoming a minority group.

In Richmond, a city of 200,000 in greater Vancouver, mainland Chinese migration has already helped create what is probably the first majority-Chinese city outside Asia.

The mainland Chinese wave has fuelled a property boom that makes Vancouver the second least affordable city in the world - behind only Hong Kong.

There have also been major social shifts, with families divided between a wife and children in Vancouver and a husband working in China. The phenomenon of returnees and part-time residents means thousands of houses and flats are vacant.

Hiebert said there had been relatively little focus on the issue, given the scale of the city's unfolding Chinese transformation. "Are we fully reflective on these changes? No, I don't think we are," he said "But I think Canadians, more maybe than anyone else, have decided to trust the government and immigration policy to decide immigration issues. In Vancouver, we have come to a consensus that a global cosmopolitan society is what we are going to be."

There are both similarities and contrasts to the pre-handover wave of Hong Kong migration to Vancouver in the 1980s and 1990s, Hiebert said.

According to immigration data, mainland Chinese arrivals in Vancouver outstripped those from Hong Kong by 7,872 to 286 in 2012. But even this 27-to-one disparity does not adequately portray the scale of the demographic shift that is taking place, because while the mainlander population is soaring in Vancouver, the number of Hong Kong immigrants actually present in the city has been falling sharply.


Photo courtesy of Hubert Kang

Mainlander numbers in Vancouver increased 88 per cent to 137,245 between 1996 and 2006, according to the most recent full census data. But Hong Kong immigrants present in the city fell 12 per cent, to 75,780, with nearly all of those losses occurring in the latter five years.

Although 18,890 new Hong Kong immigrants arrived in Vancouver in the decade to 2006, the fall in the number of such immigrants present in the city suggests that 29,325 left Vancouver in the same period.  Overall, Hongkongers seem to be leaving Vancouver by the thousands, just as mainlanders are arriving by the tens of thousands.

Canada does not keep records on foreign ownership, but a Landcor Data analysis of all 164 homes sold for more than C$3 million (HK$23 million) in Vancouver's core Westside neighbourhood in 2010 showed that 74 per cent were sold to buyers whose names were mainland Chinese spelling variants and who did not have any Western legal name.

"Lots of buyers, the wife and children will stay in Vancouver, but the husband will still live and work in China."

That common scenario reflects the difference between Hong Kong and mainland government attitudes towards Canadian citizenship.

David Ley, author of the book Millionaire Migrants about modern East Asian migration patterns, said China's prohibition on dual citizenship made it less attractive for a mainland Chinese migrant than for a Hongkonger to go "all the way" and seek Canadian citizenship, a process he termed "passport insurance".

"For a mainland Chinese, if they want to go back to China with a Canadian passport, they are at a disadvantage, unlike people from Hong Kong who are able to hold both [Canadian citizenship and Hong Kong permanent residency]," Ley said. "The stakes are much higher. If they ... get a Canadian passport then they are taking a much bigger risk."

Anecdotal evidence suggests mainland Chinese wives commonly stay in Vancouver to provide a citizenship toehold for their absentee husbands.

Afternoon Delight by Ben Oliver
Ley, also of UBC, added: "Around 2000 there was an almost complete transition in migration, switching to the PRC instead of Hong Kong and Taiwan. In other words, everyone [from Hong Kong or Taiwan] who wanted a passport got one."

Another key difference between the Hong Kong and mainland Chinese waves is their potential scale and duration. "We know for sure there is very deep wealth in the mainland, whose holders want to diversify. [A recent study suggests] that 20 per cent of those very rich wanted to come to Canada," Ley said. "We are talking about a substantial body of wealth that won't run out in the way that Hong Kong [migration] did. Over the years we are looking at an ongoing presence, depending on a variety of factors."

Mainlanders outnumbered Hongkongers in Vancouver some time between the 1996 and 2001 censuses. In that period there were 85,756 mainland arrivals to the city. But that only reflected the speed with which Canada's immigration authorities could process their applications. There is a vast backlog.

When asked whether she saw any downside to the mainland Chinese influx, real estate agent Lau agreed that local first-home buyers were struggling. But she added: "I see a lot of people here who bought in West Vancouver a long time ago. They can sell for a lot of money and move somewhere else. It's very good for them."

Hiebert said that when the Globe and Mail newspaper used the alarmist term "white flight" to describe what was happening in Vancouver's suburbs "they got hammered for it". "I'd use a different term to white flight," Hiebert said with a laugh. "I'd call it 'cashing in'."

There have been some tensions, in addition to grumbling about property prices. In Richmond, where the proliferation of Chinese-only business signage has upset some long-time residents, the city council was presented with a 1,000-name petition demanding an English component to all signage. "It [Chinese-only signage] has got progressively more noticeable," said Richmond resident Kerry Starchuk, who helped organise the petition. Richmond's council rejected the petition's demands.


Photo courtesy of Hubert Kang

Back in Coal Harbour, Wei said he saw no problem with the influx of his countrymen. "I'm happy if they come. These are not low-level people, they are very high-level in China, they are very educated."

After almost 30 years in Europe, Wei, one of nine children, said he once hoped to retire in China. "I wanted to come back. In China we have many friends, many relatives, and the food is good too. With our money, China would be very comfortable."

Chen shook her head: "He is crazy! Not many would agree with him." Chen wants to apply for Canadian citizenship - "Chinese should involve themselves more in the community," she said - although her husband, reluctant to give up Chinese citizenship, does not.

They agree, however, that their new city was the right choice. With their son, daughter-in-law and three-year-old granddaughter living nearby, Vancouver is their home. "Now, this is perfect," said Wei, waving an arm over the marina. "I never want to have regrets."


Children of rich Chinese home alone in Canada face challenges


When Danny Kuo was 18 years old, he was living alone in a large home in the exclusive Vancouver neighbourhood of Dunbar. He was a pre-medical student at the University of British Columbia.

VANCOUVER SUN    2012 Feb 27




























80% Sales to PRC
SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST




































Disaffection with Leung Chun-ying sees renewed flight to Vancouver, says activist

Vancouver could be facing a new wave of immigration from Hong Kong amid growing discontent since Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying took office, according to a democracy activist based in the Canadian city.



Henry Chau, chairman of the Vancouver Society in Support of Democratic Movement, said Hongkongers increasingly felt they were being pushed out of their own city by mainlanders and that they were looking for alternatives.



However, Labour Party lawmaker Cyd Ho Sau-lan believes that although the pan-democratic camp has issues with the chief executive and his government, Chau has no hard facts to back up his claims.


Tens of thousands of Hongkongers moved to Vancouver before the handover in 1997, but in recent years the tide has reversed.



Chau said: "I have many friends from Hong Kong, and all have a grim view for the future of Hong Kong. It is not the Hong Kong of 10 years ago. They now feel like there is no room for them any more."

Chau said anecdotal evidence suggested that many returnees - Hongkongers who migrated to Canada but then returned to Hong Kong after the handover - were now going back to Vancouver, dissatisfied by changes in the city of their birth. He said that such movements would be difficult to chart, because the returnees were Canadian dual citizens who did not show up on records as new immigrants.



"But when, for instance, we talk to our family doctor, we hear about people who have been away [in Hong Kong] for many years who are now coming back [to Vancouver]," Chau said.



"C. Y. coming to office has accelerated the discontent and the frustration," he said. "But people understand that C.Y. himself is not the underlying problem. People are frustrated because they have no control over their fate."



However, Ho said: "It's hard to justify what he is claiming without concrete facts and figures. It's not hard to substantiate a claim if you have this information, but Mr Chau does not seem to have this."

Ho said it was only when substantial facts and figures were provided by Canada's Immigration Department that Chau's claims could be taken seriously.



"He is just giving an opinion - nothing else," Ho said. "Until he can back this up with hard facts, it means nothing. I would be suspicious of what he has to say until he can."  2013 August   SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST


2012 August 18









BUSINESS IN VANCOUVER      2012 March 12




















































GLOBE & MAIL   2012 June 5



























































EXPORTS TO ASIA
























EDUCATION








VANCOUVER SUN    March 2012











DOWNTOWN VANCOUVER











RETAIL














Vintage Robson photo by Fred Herzog

ROBSON Retail

ALBERNI Retail



















COMMERCIAL:

    Only two retail assets have sold with a price tage of $50 million or more in 2012:

    • The Village at Thunderbird Centre was acquired by Sun Life for a reported $148 million; and
    • the plaza at New Westminster Station was acquired by First Capital Realty for $100 million plus an earn-out of up to $20 million.

    Having few opportunities to buy malls means there are two options for developers: build new malls or expand existing properties.

    New malls in various stages of planning and development include:

    • Ivanhoe Cambridge and the Tsawwassen First Nation’s planned Tsawwassen Mills project;
    • Property Development Group’s planned Tsawwassen Commons project;
    • Vancouver International Airport Authority and McArthurGlen Group’s planned outlet mall on Sea Island;
    • Shape Abbotsford West LP and Hoopp Realty Inc.’s under construction Highstreet in Abbotsford.

    Some of the many mall expansions, which are either underway or slated, include:

    • Morguard Investments Ltd. and Pension Fund Realty Ltd.’s Coquitlam Centre;
    • Ivanhoe Cambridge’s Guildford Town Centre;
    • Shape Properties (Brentwood) Corp. and Brentwood Towncentre Inc.’s Brentwood Town Centre;
    • Park Royal Shopping Centre Holdings Ltd.’s Park Royal Village and
    • Ivanhoe Cambridge’s Oakridge Town Centre; and
    • Aberdeen Project Thirteen Ltd.’s Aberdeen Square.

Denman







LAND COSTS - PRICE PER BUILDABLE
BC Business Magazine - September 2013











DEVELOPMENT COST CHARGES










TAX
    GST:  The new GST/PST tax regime took effect on April 1st,  2013.

    NEW CONSTRUCTION:

    All new residential construction will be taxable at the 5% rate rather than the previous 12%.    

    For more details, see the government's GST/HST info sheet.


    PROPERTY PURCHASE TAX |  ' Stamp Duty'
    The Province of B.C.'s Property Transfer Tax, which will remain the same: 1% on the first $200,000; 2% on the balance.
National Geographic 1992 - Vancouver's long history with Asia

MISC.















World


IMMIGRATION

Vancouver benefits from influx of mainland migrants, says mayor

Vancouver Mayor Gregor Robertson says a flood of mainland Chinese immigrants, tourists and investors is creating new economic development opportunities in the Canadian port city, not driving up property prices, as some city residents have complained.
13 Nov 2013 - 2:39am


























































































Market Spotlight: Metro Vancouver Cap Rates in Q3 2014


Here is an update to a graph that has been posted here many times previously. Cap rates are continuing a downward or flat trend across most asset classes amid a continued influx of capital and a continued environment of relatively cheap debt and low interest rates.
Suburban office buildings appear to be the one exception in mid-2014, likely reflecting worsening leasing fundamentals and increasing vacancy in many areas such as Burnaby. While there doesn’t appear to be much room for continued compression in the other asset classes, Vancouver tends to be a market that defies logic.
Cap Rates Q3 2014